MLB real data
MLB moneyline board.
Moneyline predictions run on our live MLB model. Run-line and total models are shown as projection context while edge and EV remain disabled.
Top Picks Today
Strongest current spots
Model has SFG at 60.7% vs market 57.7% — minimal comparison. Both pitchers are struggling (Mahle 5.70 ERA, Freeland 7.46 ERA) in extreme pitcher pa...
Model likes SDP at 60.7% but market is dead even (50.7% implied). The 10-point gap triggers market_disagreement_large. Top SHAP features are all TO...
Market has LAD at 71% vs model's 61%, a 10-point gap. Yamamoto's 2.49 ERA in 104 IP is elite; Pfaadt's 4.84 in 48 IP is exploitable. Market likely...
Model and market align closely: MIN -168 implies 62.7% vs model's 60.0%. Joe Ryan's 2.85 ERA over 104 IP is elite, Johnson's 6.99 ERA in 28 IP is e...
Model likes CHW at 60% but market is dead even (50/50). The 10-point gap triggers market_disagreement_large but neither team stands out: CHW is 48-...
AI Analyst Today
Ranked MLB analyst slate
Model's coin-flip call (50.0% WSN) misses the pitcher quality gap. Schlittler: 2.01 ERA, 10.53 K/9 over 112 IP is legitimate dominance. Mikolas: 5.78 ERA, 4.98 K/9 is...
Model and market align closely: MIN -168 implies 62.7% vs model's 60.0%. Joe Ryan's 2.85 ERA over 104 IP is elite, Johnson's 6.99 ERA in 28 IP is exploitable. Model to...
Market has LAD at 71% vs model's 61%, a 10-point gap. Yamamoto's 2.49 ERA in 104 IP is elite; Pfaadt's 4.84 in 48 IP is exploitable. Market likely pricing Dodgers' 61-...
Model has MIA 59.8%, market 57.4% — modest agreement favoring home. MIA offense (6.7 RPG, .774 OPS) vs CLE (4.2 RPG, .600 OPS) is a real comparison. Model total 8.96 v...
Model has PHI at 57% vs market's 56%, essentially aligned. Ace matchup flag fires (Mize 2.64 ERA, Sánchez 2.62 ERA) but model total 8.63 runs exceeds market 7.5 by ove...
Model has TEX 56% but market is nearly flat (52% implied). Lambert's 3.26 ERA in 80 IP with better K/9 and WHIP than Rocker gives HOU the pitching comparison. Model to...
Model likes PIT 52.7% but market has MIL -125 (55.6% implied). MIL is 59-34 vs PIT 47-47; record gap supports market view. Drohan's 2.97 ERA in 63.7 IP is legit vs Cha...
Model favors STL 52.7% vs market ATL 52.9%—essentially a toss-up. Liberatore's 5.34 ERA in 87.7 IP is concerning against ATL's 6.2 RPG offense. López's 3.18 ERA in 56....
MLB Board
Moneyline predictions with pitcher, projection, and market context
Model has SFG at 60.7% vs market 57.7% — minimal comparison. Both pitchers are struggling (Mahle 5.70 ERA, Freeland 7.46 ERA) in extreme pitcher pa...
Model likes SDP at 60.7% but market is dead even (50.7% implied). The 10-point gap triggers market_disagreement_large. Top SHAP features are all TO...
Market has LAD at 71% vs model's 61%, a 10-point gap. Yamamoto's 2.49 ERA in 104 IP is elite; Pfaadt's 4.84 in 48 IP is exploitable. Market likely...
Model and market align closely: MIN -168 implies 62.7% vs model's 60.0%. Joe Ryan's 2.85 ERA over 104 IP is elite, Johnson's 6.99 ERA in 28 IP is e...
Model likes CHW at 60% but market is dead even (50/50). The 10-point gap triggers market_disagreement_large but neither team stands out: CHW is 48-...
Model has MIA 59.8%, market 57.4% — modest agreement favoring home. MIA offense (6.7 RPG, .774 OPS) vs CLE (4.2 RPG, .600 OPS) is a real comparison...
Model has PHI at 57% vs market's 56%, essentially aligned. Ace matchup flag fires (Mize 2.64 ERA, Sánchez 2.62 ERA) but model total 8.63 runs excee...
Model has TEX 56% but market is nearly flat (52% implied). Lambert's 3.26 ERA in 80 IP with better K/9 and WHIP than Rocker gives HOU the pitching...
Model likes PIT 52.7% but market has MIL -125 (55.6% implied). MIL is 59-34 vs PIT 47-47; record gap supports market view. Drohan's 2.97 ERA in 63....
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model favors STL 52.7% vs market ATL 52.9%—essentially a toss-up. Liberatore's 5.34 ERA in 87.7 IP is concerning against ATL's 6.2 RPG offense. Lóp...
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.
Model's coin-flip call (50.0% WSN) misses the pitcher quality gap. Schlittler: 2.01 ERA, 10.53 K/9 over 112 IP is legitimate dominance. Mikolas: 5....