Model (62.7%) and market (64.2%) agree on Texas; no reason to fight that. Tidwell's 3.00 ERA over 12 IP in 2 starts is not predictive, so the model...

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 5:05 PM MDT

Open

STLSt. Louis Cardinals+175

NYYNew York Yankees-205

Pick Probability60%NYY moneyline

STLHunter DobbinsConfirmed

NYYRyan WeathersConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

NYY moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

PITPittsburgh Pirates+125

MILMilwaukee Brewers-147

Pick Probability58%MIL moneyline

PITJared JonesConfirmed

MILLogan HendersonConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

MIL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 6:40 PM MDT

Open

TBRTampa Bay Rays-175

COLColorado Rockies+148

Pick Probability58%TBR moneyline

TBRFreddy PeraltaConfirmed

COLGabriel HughesConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

TBR / standard confidence / Rank 2 / Agrees with model

Model (57.6% TBR) and market (~58% away after vig) agree, so no real comparison on the side; TBR's 66-46 record and .802 OPS back it. On the total,...

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

NYMNew York Mets+116

CLECleveland Guardians-136

Pick Probability54%CLE moneyline

NYMSean ManaeaConfirmed

CLEJoey CantilloConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

CLE moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 5:15 PM MDT

Open

MIAMiami Marlins+127

ATLAtlanta Braves-150

Pick Probability54%ATL moneyline

MIARyan GustoConfirmed

ATLGrant HolmesConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

ATL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 7:40 PM MDT

Open

SDPSan Diego Padres+104

ARIArizona Diamondbacks-122

Pick Probability54%ARI moneyline

SDPRandy VásquezConfirmed

ARIEduardo RodriguezConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

ARI moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 4:35 PM MDT

Open

LAALos Angeles Angels+130

BALBaltimore Orioles-152

Pick Probability53%BAL moneyline

LAAGrayson RodriguezConfirmed

BALCade PovichConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

BAL moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 4:40 PM MDT

Open

OAKOakland Athletics+115

CINCincinnati Reds-135

Pick Probability53%CIN moneyline

OAKJ.T. GinnConfirmed

CINBrady SingerConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

CIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 5:10 PM MDT

Open

CHWChicago White Sox+125

BOSBoston Red Sox-148

Pick Probability53%BOS moneyline

CHWDavis MartinConfirmed

BOSPatrick SandovalConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

BOS moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 7:40 PM MDT

Open

DETDetroit Tigers+107

SEASeattle Mariners-125

Pick Probability53%SEA moneyline

DETTroy MeltonConfirmed

SEAEmerson HancockConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

SEA moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 5:40 PM MDT

Open

MINMinnesota Twins-150

KCRKansas City Royals+125

Pick Probability52%MIN moneyline

MINJoe RyanConfirmed

KCRRandy DobnakConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

MIN moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 6:05 PM MDT

Open

LADLos Angeles Dodgers-200

CHCChicago Cubs+165

Pick Probability52%LAD moneyline

LADTarik SkubalConfirmed

CHCJavier AssadConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

LAD moneyline

Model pick shown; AI Analyst note unavailable for this matchup.

MLBMoneylineAug 4, 6:10 PM MDT

Open

TORToronto Blue Jays+120

HOUHouston Astros-145

Pick Probability52%TOR moneyline

TORTrey YesavageConfirmed

HOUHayden WesneskiConfirmed

Market OddsClosing odds

HOU / lean confidence / Rank 3 / Analyst disagrees with base model

Model takes TOR despite the worse record (53-60) and 3.7 RPG, triggering the offense/defense mismatch flag; market has HOU at 54.6%. Yesavage (3.73...